Weekend: Don't Stop Eating for Fear of Choking

Written By Nick Hodge

Posted May 14, 2011

Welcome to the Energy and Capital Weekend Edition — our insights from the week in investing and links to our most-read Energy and Capital and sister publication articles.

Guys like me are always early to the party.

And while that’s always good for the bottom line, it’s not always good for image.

For example, when we said Peak Oil would drive oil to $100 and gas to $4.00 earlier this decade, many dismissed us as crazy. Some even called us as much on television…

As we continue to beat the drum for the death procession of the dollar, there are still those who write us off as conspiracy theorists or un-American.

We don’t write the things we do to be conspiratorial or flashy.

We write the things we do because that’s how we see them playing out; because we’ve watched market cycles and consumer behavior for years and are immersed in market minutia every day.

In the days after the earthquake in Japan, I received dozens of scornful comments for declaring it a buying opportunity.

And I certainly didn’t make any fans by saying the nuclear industry would chug along unscathed…

But that’s what we do.

We look at all the information and likely outcomes of a given scenario — even horrific ones — and give our best advice on how to make it work to your advantage.

Part of our job description is tempering emotion to identify truth.

Which is why — when less rational beings were claiming the events in Japan would be the death knell of the nuclear industry — I had this to say:

The world will not abandon nuclear energy because of the recent disaster in Japan.

For starters, there are 440 nuclear reactors operating in dozens of countries around the globe, 437 of which were unaffected by the earthquake.

I can assure you those other plants will not be decommissioned. They may be temporarily shut down for safety inspections to reassure the sheeple — as Germany has announced for a quarter of its nukes — but they will not be taken offline permanently.

For finishers, nuclear energy provides about 15% of the world’s electricity. It’d literally take decades to replace it.

And somewhere in the middle, you’ve got the 60 reactors currently being built, the 155 planned, and the 320 proposed across the globe — as close as Canada and in “green” countries like Finland.

Most media outlets aren’t free to say that right away. They have to run the human interest stories first.

Now, enough time has passed since the disaster they’re free to tell us that the nuclear industry won’t be affected after all.

Here’s what the Associated Press had to say about it this week:

Japan and Germany are limiting or phasing out reliance on nuclear power after the Fukushima accident — moves that could raise petroleum prices — but most of the rest of the world is undaunted in its pursuit of nuclear energy.

Energy-hungry developing nations such as China, India, Mexico and Iran are moving forward on plans to build more nuclear plants, even as authorities around the world intensify safety inspections of existing plants after Japan’s March 11 disaster.

Initial fears that erupted in the wake of the crisis, threatening to derail the nuclear renaissance of the last several years, have largely subsided. Many of the 30-plus countries with nuclear energy programs continue to promote them as a way to combat pollution and global warming.

Did you catch that?

They said exactly what I said… only they said it two months later.

That’s what we do here: assess what’s going on in the market and give you ideas on how it’s going to play out and how to profit from it.

The news media can only tell you what happened in retrospect.

Keep that in mind as you read this week’s ideas, below.

Call it like you see it,

Nick Hodge

Nick Hodge
Editor, Energy and Capital

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