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Big Oil's Little Secret

The 11% Oil Dividend Hiding in Plain Sight

Written by Keith Kohl
Posted February 7, 2014

On December 18, 2013, a collective sigh of relief went up in the boardroom of one of the largest multinational oil companies on the planet.

Considered one of the six "supermajor" oil companies, British Petroleum execs haven't had much to cheer about in the Gulf of Mexico since the Macondo disaster.

That morning, however, BP announced a major oil discovery at the company's Gila prospect. Alongside ConocoPhillips, the company had struck a deepwater discovery roughly three hundred miles southwest of New Orleans.

Easily one of the largest plays in the Gulf of Mexico, the oil discovery highlights one of the most overlooked parts of the world's oil supply: offshore production.

The deepwater discovery announced that morning also gave us a glimpse into something else that is far more important...

It shines a light on Big Oil's dirty little secret.

More Money, More Problems

Recently, I mentioned how offshore drilling is playing a critical role in production today and accounts for about one-third of global supply.

And like I said: Big Oil is drilling deeper than ever before.

Over the last three decades, the share of deepwater and ultra-deepwater discoveries has grown dramatically.

offshore discoveries

Now, my veteran readers have heard me say that cheap oil is now a thing of the past. That fact will become more pronounced in the years ahead.

This year, BP has set its capital expenditures between $24 and $25 billion. Although this is similar to 2013, an overwhelming amount of that spending is allocated toward the company's upstream activities.

But BP isn't the only company with big spending plans. ExxonMobil has budgeted upwards of $30 billion for 2014.

The amount gets even bigger when you look at state-run behemoths like Petrobras, which is maintaining its $237 billion capital spending plan to develop Brazil's offshore fields through 2017.

Point is, Big Oil is forced to spend more and more and more and... you get the idea.

Fortunately, there's a small group of drillers that are taking full advantage of this.

Force Big Oil to Fund Your Retirement

Believe me, you don't have to be a former member of the Board for British Petroleum to help fund your retirement. BP is shelling out more than $3 million to a single investment every single day!

The same can also be said for other members of the world's largest integrated oil companies, also known as the supermajors.

You see, the dirty little secret you won't see in BP's commercials is the amount of cash it's willing to pay to keep production afloat — which is precisely where this company's modern drilling fleet comes in handy.

Look, we both know it isn't cheap to drill offshore wells. Day rates for drillships capable of drilling in depths greater than 7,500 feet can go for almost $600,000 per day. These day rates have steadily risen over the last few years, and you can bet that money adds up quickly.

In fact, just one offshore driller in particular is milking Big Oil for more than $27 million each day.

Yet even more lucrative is how much Big Oil is on the hook for going forward. The company holds a contract backlog in excess of $20 billion, with over $15 billion of that being paid out within the next two years.

In turn, the company takes this mountain of cash and pays it out directly to investors every single quarter.

It's an 11% annual dividend that's hiding in plain sight.

That's also not to mention that this company has increased this payout nine times since 2011!

However, having one of the highest dividends in the industry is only part of the equation. Over the last five years, this offshore stock has drastically outperformed its two largest customers, Exxon and BP:

xom and bp vs offshore

So much for the orphans and widows holding on to Big Oil.

Still, there's more to the offshore story than the exorbitant prices major oil companies are paying.

This is a rare opportunity for individual investors to take advantage of the recent bloody market correction — especially with many offshore companies trading at less than ten times trailing earnings, including the driller in the chart above, which holds a P/E of just 7.

You can check out all the details behind that undervalued offshore stock right here.

Until next time,

Keith Kohl Signature

Keith Kohl

follow basic@KeithKohl1 on Twitter

A true insider in the energy markets, Keith is one of few financial reporters to have visited the Alberta oil sands. His research has helped thousands of investors capitalize from the rapidly changing face of energy. Keith connects with hundreds of thousands of readers as the Managing Editor of Energy & Capital as well as Investment Director of Angel Publishing's Energy Investor. For years, Keith has been providing in-depth coverage of the Bakken, the Haynesville Shale, and the Marcellus natural gas formations — all ahead of the mainstream media. For more on Keith, go to his editor's page.


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