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Natural Gas Emerging as Oil Alternative

That New Role of Natural Gas

By Nick Hodge
Wednesday, June 9th, 2010

My colleagues Keith Kohl and Ian Cooper have been rattling the natural gas cage for a few weeks now.

Today, I'm officially jumping on the bandwagon.

And the reasons for it are simple:

  1. We can meet our domestic energy needs with North American resources rather than importing two-thirds of the oil we use.

  2. Natural gas is much cheaper than oil.

  3. Natural gas burns cleaner than oil.

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A nat gas no-brainer

If oil were $20 cheaper per barrel or we could somehow find enough of it in the U.S. to last more than a few years, then this issue wouldn't be so cut and dry.

But it's not, and we can't. So natural gas is emerging as the clear alternative.

And as Cooper recently pointed out, natural gas has run from $4 to more than $4.85 as the Dow plunged from 11,200 to the mid-9,000s. It would seem mainstream investors are starting to catch on.

Indeed, just take a look at how United States Natural Gas (NYSE: UNG) has performed over the past three months:

United States Natural Gas (NYSE:UNG)

With the drilling ban and change in public sentiment likely to follow the BP incident in the Gulf, natural gas will be looked to as not only an abundant domestic energy source, but also a source of much-needed jobs.

In fact the Obama administration has already announced any drilling in the Gulf will be in less than 500 feet of water.

According to CNN, "Shallow water wells account for just 20% of the Gulf's oil output, but over 50% of its natural gas production and the majority of offshore jobs." 

Point: natural gas.

Gas's grip begins

As coal comes under fire for its mining practices and heavy emissions, utilities are once again turning to natural gas for baseload generation.

Just this week, Constellation Energy (NYSY: CEG) announced the commissioning of its Hillabee Power Plant.

According to the press release:

The Hillabee plant is fueled by clean-burning natural gas and uses combined cycle technology which recycles heat exhaust to create additional electricity with minimal waste and less water usage. The plant is also fitted with Selective Catalytic Reduction technology which significantly reduces nitrogen oxide emissions.

Expect the shift away from coal to continue.

Even more exciting, natural gas is increasingly gaining share in the auto market...

Major cities have long retrofitted their fleets to run on natural gas, but their use is quickly spreading to other areas; natural gas engines are being offered by more and more automakers as original equipment.

Ford offers its Transit Connect as a natural gas model — and cities have been buying them up.

Tim Conlon, president of California Yellow Cab, even says it could be “the iconic taxi of the future.”

Honda offers the Civic with a 1.8L natural gas engine; Ford, Chevy, GMC, and Isuzu each offer natural gas conversions for several models.

And just this week, Ford announced it will offer compressed natural gas (CNG) conversion kits for its F-450 and F-550 trucks — a big move for traditionally manly, diesel-powered trucks.

From fleets to your street

Right now, natural gas cars and trucks make the most sense for fleets.

If you were to buy one for personal use, where would you fill it up?

Fleets, on the other hand — like buses, big rigs, police and fire, meter readers, local and federal governments, etc. — can install one natural gas station to fuel all their vehicles.

I'll let Keith and Ian guide you on the production side of natural gas — the explorers, drillers, and other companies that fall under their umbrella of expertise...

But I will say that as natural gas vehicles take hold in the United States, a pure play would be on the company building the fueling stations.

The only pure play doing that right now is Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (NASDAQ: CLNE), and recent volatility has knocked it down to attractive levels.

What's more, several members of Congress or their family members — including Paul Pelosi — own this stock.

You think there's some favorable natural gas vehicle legislation on the way?

More on that topic in coming weeks.

Call it like you see it,

Nick Hodge

Nick

Editor's Note: There was an error in yesterday's edition of Energy and Capital. The word "barrels" in the following sentence should be "gallons": A containment cap recently attached to the sunken Deepwater Horizon well that’s been spewing 1 million barrels of oil per day into the Gulf of Mexico is actually capturing a portion of the runaway crude. We apologize for the mistake and it has since been corrected.

Check out the live feed of BP's ongoing efforts to stop the spill right here.


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Comments:

Comment by Steve on 2010-06-09
Great.
Everything runs on natural gas while it costs us $3,000/month to heat our homes.
What the hell good has it just done?
TBoone can't wait, though. OSU needs another football field.
Comment by Barry Larkman on 2010-06-09
Natural Gas is still a fossil fuel.
If the world do not halt the burning of all fossil fuels now, the ambient temperature of the earth will rise enough to melt the permafrost in Arctic Circle and release billions of tonnes of frozen methane that will consume the earth's protective envelope: the Ozone Layer and we our atmosphere will be forfeit to space causing life to become extinct again on earth for the 5th time.
Comment by Bob on 2010-06-09
Ah yes!
If I have my numbers correct, you have to have 3,600 psi of CNG in your "tank" to get a 300 mile driving radius. Wait till the first 80 car pile-up on a freeway some where. 9/11 will look like a kindergarten picnic. Nothing is 100%, 100% 0f the time. At anything close to those pressures any thing less tha 100% will result in a leak. OOOPS! Hit a few chuck holes, bumps, curbs road debris, and fenders and then tell me all the unions, elbows, etc are perfect for how many years? RIGHT!!!
Comment by Jim stACk on 2010-06-11
Better check all your facts. We started importing 5% of our NG in 2004. The price is very volitile.

NG in a ICE car still watses 80% of the energy in het and friction. It still makes 50% of the pollution compared to gasoline.
We have excess electric at night. EVs are 80% efficent insteadof 20%.

Regenerative braking is built in an EV or even hybrid. NG and gas can't regen !
Comment by anon on 2010-06-11
I just read this article about how positive natural gas is. Im happy its being touted to our mayors- with it being 70 percent cheaper and twice as abundant as oil why wouldnt we want this for our future??
Comment by paulbedichek on 2010-06-13
Natural gas already powers thousands of vehicles with less danger than gasoline it is lighter than air so hard to ignite in an accident(pipelines are different)It emits less carbon than coal or gasoline and give the United States time to build nuclear reactors,windmills,and solar cells.It is not as convienent as gasoline (nothing is)but using it would save our treasure and lives and we would reduce the money flowing to our enemies
Comment by Rhea on 2010-06-15
Across the Wasatch Front (Salt Lake) in Utah we have access to natural gas distribution as citizens here. Utah is also working on adding another 150 stations to facilitate natural gas use.
Comment by victor alienello on 2010-06-17
Natural Gas is the perfect fuel for a socialist government! Why is that the emission of Methane (which is 23% more harmful than carbon) fails to be mentioned when we discuss oil vs natural gas? Being in the energy industry, I'll take a gasoline vehicle over a natural gas vehicle 100% of the time if I am to be involved in an auto accident!
Comment by Joaseph T. Nied on 2010-07-13
I just read the comments that have
been posted. The "knee jerk" reply's / comments
actually emulating from a lower
posterior dorsal area, seem to show
the myopic mentality shown toward
the realities of natural gas and the promise it will keep for our futures.

The world is full of critics, and
starved for people with rational
solutions. Critics only require
the perpetuation of their ignorance to sustain their belief's.

If the moron's house costs $3,000.
to heat, maybe it is time for him
to abandon his cromag cave and
join the 21st. century--fire has
been tamed for social enjoyment.

There I go, being critical--shame on me.

Fan of T. Boone