Nuclear Revival in Japan Threatens Fossil Fuels
More nuclear means less of almost everything else
Japan's new energy goals are ambitious, and don't look good for some fossil fuels.
The country's new blueprint lays out plans for energy production by 2030: 20-22% will be nuclear, 22-24% renewables, 27% LNG, and 26% coal. That leaves between 1% and 5% to be produced by crude and fuel oil.
This is a dramatic drop for all of the energy sources except renewable and nuclear (which was cut down entirely after the Fukushima disaster in 2011). In 2013 the numbers stood at 0.8% nuclear, 5.6% renewable, 38.5% LNG, 32% coal, and 15.2% crude oil.
While nuclear investors will be glad to hear that this means some of the shut down reactors will be up and running again, fossil fuel producers will suffer the loss of a big consumer.
Japan is first on the list of global LNG importers, third in coal imports, and fourth in crude oil imports. It will be a hard blow to each of the global markets.
There are, however, a few saving graces moving forward in the LNG market.
Demand in China, India, and Southeast Asia are increasing as a huge move away from coal power calls for cleaner energy sources. China especially is looking to diversify its portfolio and find new suppliers of natural gas for both electricity production and for vehicles.
And in Japan, while its renewable energy goals are attainable, it is possible that renewable technology will not advance fast enough to reach the goal in time. If that is the case, LNG will provide the energy to fill the gap.
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Until next time,
A true insider in the energy markets, Keith is one of few financial reporters to have visited the Alberta oil sands. His research has helped thousands of investors capitalize from the rapidly changing face of energy. Keith connects with hundreds of thousands of readers as the Managing Editor of Energy & Capital as well as Investment Director of Angel Publishing's Energy Investor. For years, Keith has been providing in-depth coverage of the Bakken, the Haynesville Shale, and the Marcellus natural gas formations — all ahead of the mainstream media. For more on Keith, go to his editor's page.
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