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Oil Price Outlook

Underinvestment Now Means Shortfalls after Recovery

By Sam Hopkins
Monday, June 8th, 2009

With oil prices down because of economic gloom, oil majors aren't investing as much in finding new supplies.

The Economist recently highlighted the IEA estimate that overall investment in exploration and production will drop by 15-20%.

Here we see in an Economist chart just what that trend looks like on a year-to-year basis, with a staggering plunge taking place from 2006-2007:

oil and gas projects approved

Your first thought might be, "Why did investment drop so hard in 2007, when the recession hadn't taken hold yet?"

But a better question is, "What will the oil price do once demand is restored and exploration has left us scraping the barrel bottoms?"

Read Chris Nelder's updated oil price outlook for the answer.

-Sam Hopkins

 






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Comment by Clueless on 2009-06-09
The oil price increase mystifies some analysts, who say that oil demand remains weak. According to the International Energy Agency, worldwide demand is down 2.6 million barrels a day from last year, mostly because of declines in driving and slower economic activity in the United States and other industrialized countries. Oil inventories are high. - NY Times