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Keeping Our Sights Set on a Recovery

Energy and Capital's Weekend Edition

By Keith Kohl
Saturday, November 21st, 2009

Welcome to the Energy and Capital Weekend Edition — our insights from the week in investing, as well as our top stories from Energy and Capital and our sister publications.


Another week has passed, and despite an early rally in energy, the week ended with traders scrambling to take their profits off the table.

  • Starting off the week, gold prices rallied after an early period of weakness, closing $10.10 higher at $1,116.70 per ounce. The news kept rolling throughout the week, too. By mid-week, a weakening U.S. dollar had traders rushing to gold... also by mid-week, prices climbed to a new record of $1,153.40 per ounce. Not surprisingly, gold ETFs reached new highs as investors poured over $55 billion in gold-backed ETFs during the first nine months of 2009.

  • Even though crude prices managed to break $80 per barrel by Wednesday, investors quickly began taking profits. By Friday, oil prices had fallen by 3.5%. In the API's Monthly Statistical Report, U.S. oil production averaged 5.36 million barrels per day. The last time U.S. crude production was that high was June 2005.

  • Unfortunately, our country's production troubles are far from solved. In fact, the truth is that U.S. oil production peaked in 1970. Ever since then, we've been sliding down the backside of peak oil.

  • On the demand side of the equation, everybody's eyes are on China. On Thursday, Platts reported that China's oil demand surged 10.2% higher in October compared to a year ago. Keep in mind that this is the second consecutive month that China's demand grew by double-digits. One thing is for sure: With a recovery in sight, we're certainly not selling with the rest of the herd.

Enjoy your weekend,

keith kohl

Keith Kohl

Energy and Capital

P.S. In case you missed the top stories from this week's from Energy and Capital and our sister publications, you can read them below.

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Crisis Investing in Brazil: The Great Brazilian Blackout of 2009
Wealth Daily International editor Sam Hopkins reports on the latest blackout in Brazil. However, this crisis isn't just about the lights going out. Sam highlights several investment opportunities that are getting brighter.

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Peak Gold is a Myth: Peak Gold is Bunk, But Perception is Everything
Wealth Daily's resident gold guru, Luke Burgess, clears the air with the growing concern of "peak gold."

The Bakken Oil Fields of North Dakota: The Next Step for the Bakken Oil Formation
Things are starting to heat up for the Bakken oil formation. Energy and Capital's Keith Kohl explains why the Bakken — once thought of as a mere bailout zone — will help North Dakota overtake California as the country's third-largest oil producer.

Investing in Smart Meter companies: Giving Up the Electricity Answering Machine
Energy and Capital Editor Nick Hodge takes a moment to talk about smart meter companies and points investors toward the next round of smart grid profits.

The Outlook for Lithium Production: Lithium Battery Market to Hit $15 Billion in 2010
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Comments:

Comment by Ivan Hills on 2009-11-21
Well, not everyone is looking at China or North Dakota. I have just read about a large oil field, already drilled, under Paris. Horizontal drilling from the suburbs -- by a Texas company. Maybe there will be a second peak? That's what is needed to stave off the next ice-age.