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A Highly Inefficient Thanksgiving

Profiting from an Energy-Intensive Food System

By Jeff Siegel
Friday, November 23rd, 2007

This year's Thanksgiving dinner was top-notch. The free-range turkey was cooked just right, and the apple cider we picked up from Weber's Farm (perhaps the most popular family-run apple orchard in Maryland, and undoubtedly the producers of the best apple cider you'll ever taste) hit the spot.

Of course, I did pick up a little flack from some of my family over my desire to keep this year's Thanksgiving dinner as energy-efficient as possible. Not that I expected any less. The fact is, on its face the idea of an "efficient Thanksgiving" seems kind of odd. The average consumer puts little thought into the amount of energy we consume in order to feast like gluttonous royalty.

But the fact is, our entire conventional food production and distribution system is highly inefficient.

Back in 2002, a study from the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health estimated that, using our current system, three calories of energy were needed to create, on average, one calorie of edible food. The biggest culprit is actually grain-fed beef, which requires 35 calories for every calorie produced.

The most prominent factors found in this inefficient system are:

  • Inefficient growing practices

  • Food processing

  • Storage

  • Transportation

That's one expensive Turkey!

The turkey we bought this year was ordered through a local organic and natural foods store. It was juicy, tender and delicious. And it was about three times the cost of the conventional turkeys they were selling at the mega-supermarket.

But these turkeys were raised without genetically-modified feed or feed loaded with pesticide residue. There was minimal processing, minimal storage, and transportation was less than 30 miles.

Now why would I tell you about this? What's the investment angle?

It's simple.

The current system cannot sustain itself as energy prices continue to rise. And the companies operating in a more sustainable manner are the companies that will rise to the top when the turkey poop hits the fan.

Let me explain . . .

Most of the food produced today is done so in an unsustainable way. And I'm not just talking about environmentally unsustainable. I'm talking about bottom-line sustainability. In other words, with rising energy prices, companies cannot sustain themselves by sticking with a "business-as-usual" approach.

For instance, let's take a look at the amount of fossil fuel used in industrial farming.

Certainly fossil fuels are used in transportation and fueling machinery. And that has to be figured into the equation. But the biggest chunk of fossil fuel usage in industrial farming actually comes from chemicals.

That's right, as much as 40 percent of energy consumed in the food system can be traced back to artificial fertilizers and pesticides.

You see, fertilizers are synthesized from nitrogen and natural gas--a big energy drainer. According to the D.O.E., it takes an average of 5.5 gallons of fossil fuels per acre.

On the opposite side of the spectrum, however, smaller, pasture-based livestock farms utilize natural cycles. That is, the animals feed themselves on grass and distribute manure, fertilizing the pasture without the assistance of chemical fertilizers.

Another energy hog in our system is food transportation.

Most industrial farming utilizes economies of scale to gain a competitive advantage. And that means that today, most of our food is grown in concentration-specific areas. However, as we're seeing now with rising oil prices, the cost advantage could potentially disappear within the next twenty years, simply because it'll be too expensive to transport all that food from one centralized area. This is a big country, folks! And it ain't cheap to move tomatoes grown in California's San Joaquin valley to Baltimore. Though it's still not uncommon for us to find these 3,000-mile tomatoes at the local supermarket.

And this is an international issue too.

According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture, more than $120 billion worth of agricultural products crossed U.S. borders as imports and exports in 2005. How long do you think that's going to last with $300 oil?

It's funny, but you can buy local, organic tomatoes in Maryland for the same prices as those conventional tomatoes that come from California. Now guess which are fresher and sweeter? And guess which will be the cheaper deal in about a year or two?

Opportunities in Sustainability

There are a number ways to play the sustainability angle when it comes to food production.

The most obvious is organic food plays, since organic foods don't use pesticides or synthetic fertilizers. There are companies on the retail level like Whole Foods Markets (WFMI:NASDAQ) and Planet Organic (POH.V) and on the production side like Hain Celestial (HAIN:NASDAQ) and SunOpta (STKL:NASDAQ).

But we can dig even deeper here.

For example, the USDA has estimated that if all of our farmland's irrigation systems could become just 10 percent more efficient, we would save 80 million gallons of diesel annually spent on pumping and applying the water.

Well, here's one for you . . .

How about a company that uses solar-powered irrigation systems, like World Water & Solar Technologies (WWAT.OB)?

The USDA also states that reducing repetitive fertilizer application on the 250 million acres of major U.S. cropland would save about $1 billion worth of petroleum-based fertilizers and pesticides per year. This is an increasing price tag that organic food suppliers do not have to pay.

We have a couple of new plays scheduled for 2008 in this category. If you want in on these, you must be a member! You can join here.

Until then, enjoy the rest of your Thanksgiving break.

To a new way of life, and a new generation of wealth . . .

jeff's sig

Jeff




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Comments:

Comment by peter jacques on 2007-11-24
Another excellent article with actual companies mentioned by name, for consideration, in a growing area for investors. Last summer you did an article on a mining company that was touted by another news letter a few weeks later as their big unnamed pick that would be reviled to new paid up subscribers. I made 97% on a 2 week option play thanks to you and you are now at the top of my list for premium news letters in 2008.
Comment by jay on 2007-11-24
Maybe World Water & Solar will turn a profit some day ; they have some contracts lined up . Let us hope there is water to be pumped !
How many colleges offer a degree in agronomy today ? Can you tell me about the Azobacter genus ? I will tell you that chemical fertilizers are often over used , and insecticides are often misused , so there are problems to be fixed , but 98% lean free range beef is not that big a seller , and people don't want blemished fruits and vegetables . Coyotes get the chickens , bugs get the peaches and pecans , and the garden won't grow much if it's not watered , but the racoons never starve . This is my reality .
Comment by James Garwood on 2007-11-25
Who is the turkey?
Yesterday's farmer farmed 300 acres
while today a single farmer can farm 3,000 acres of row crops. It once took 50% of the population to feed the country while today less than 2% of the population feeds the country and is the largest exporter of food in the world. 50 years ago a farmer had to make 6-7 passes over a field to grow a crop that is now done with on pass of a no-til planter.
Organic does not nessesarily mean chemical free. "Certified" chemicals are used when deemed necessary. Are detergents not a manufactured product? Potash and phosphorus are mined from the ground. Manure is not allowed in fruit or vegetable growing areas by order of the FDA and EPA as it is the main source of e-coli.

I highly doubt that you can buy a locally grown organic tomatoe in Maryland from October through May since they would have to be grown in an artifical climate.
Comment by Marshall Copithorne on 2007-11-25
High cost grain finished beef is a habit formed in America as a result of very highly subsidized and subsequent cheap feed grains. Cattle by nature are forage consuming ruminants which have recently been technically adapted to high energy grain rations for economic reasons. American consumers have developed an adapted preference for grain finished beef. This is not neccessarily the case in the rest of the world. 60 % of the arable land on earth is suitable for only growing forage and grass. Beef can be tasty, safe, and cheap converters of this naturally produced forage energy.
Comment by JOHN KOS on 2007-11-26
Here's a story demonstating the insane practices of food companies in North America as told to me a few years ago by a local trucker in the "Tomato Captital of Canada. He was given a trailer load of Ontario tomatoes to take to Texas. His return load was a load of Texas tomatoes back to Ontario.
John
Comment by Jeff on 2007-11-27
Great article - informative and funny. I agree with Jeff and see some major changes coming if fuel prices continue to rise.

Jeff (2)
Comment by Frsncas Salliono on 2007-11-28
beg to differ with You on the amount of oil used.. a few years ago I owned a natural fetilizer firm in Florida and 1 day I deceided to figure out the amount of oil needed for chemical fertilizer 1st how much fert consumed You can find that out from the TVA, second 6.2 lbs for every lb. of fert including the the energy used in the process it comes to 6.2 lbs of oil , so in florida we put down the equivelent of 8oz. of oil per square foot buildoing and roads included 39 million acres in the state hope this helps.. Oh then you wind up with the tilens from the phosphate industry lol which are radio active another story but if you want to know it i can explain it oh boy
Comment by B Forrest on 2007-12-06
"Manure is not allowed in fruit or vegetable growing areas by order of the FDA and EPA as it is the main source of e-coli."

Really? Then what's that water treatment plant sludge my soy bean farmer buddy is spraying out there? HuManure. The main source of Ecoli is filthy processing areas and consumers who think that just because it's in a bag it's cool to just toss it and roll.

We have been putting manure on our garden and fields for 50yrs and we ain't never had any e-coli.

But y'all just keep doing it the way the status quo wants. When they blow the last 6in of Mid West topsoil away in either your gas tank or keeping a wet mill pumping high fructose goo, then you'll know.

DO NOT try to come out of your urban nest into the country looking to get fed. You will be in for a very unpleasant surprise...we have about had enough of yer smart mouths.