Investing in LED: Part 2

American Technology Research CEO boosts our CREE position

By
Friday, January 4th, 2008

It was December 21 when we last spoke of Cree (CREE :NASDAQ) benefiting from the 2012 100-watt incandescent bulb ban announcement.

Since then, the ignored, under-the-radar $2 billion gem has run from a $22.45 low to more than $28, thanks in part to American Technology Research CEO Richard Prati. Reportedly, the CEO radiantly reviewed Cree during a CNBC interview, saying the company’s LED technology would grow “astronomically” in upcoming years.

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The CEO even believes that LED technology will proliferate like Internet companies did in the 1990s; that LED can save consumers up to 90% on energy bills; and that its “positive environmental reputation” will attract consumers.

Even Amtech has a new “buy” rating on the company with a $55 price target, a 145% potential move off the $22.45 low.

They may be late to our party, but they’ve got it right.

Sure, you’ll come across the editorial naysayers who’ll try to bring it down. But we’re talking about an LED market with 388% growth potential. This is a market expected to exceed $1 billion by 2011, a 388% jump from the 2005 market value of $205 million.

We’re not the only ones that see the LED potential.

Walt Disney World changed over to LED, wiring Cinderella’s Castle with more than 20,000 LEDs and saving thousands of dollars.

The Times Square ball, fully lit with LED lighting, was twice as bright and used half the energy.

The city of Boulder, Colorado is switching to LEDs for its Downtown Pearl Street Mall.

Royal Philips Electronics is aware of the potential, announcing it was buying Genlyte for $2.7 billion as part of its LED company-buying spree as it strengthens is energy-efficient lighting business.

The growth is there, my friends. You just have to pick up LED-related stocks early and cheaply enough before the Internet-type 1990 run begins. Along with CREE, we’d recommend picking up Lighting Science Group (LSGP.OB).

Pure Energy Stock Trader bought shares of CREE at $22.45 only to watch it soar north of $28 for a 25% gain, as well as the CREE June 2008 25 calls (CQRFE), which soared 119%. They’re still holding with a near-term $35 price target.

Ian L. Cooper
http://www.energyandcapital.com


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Comments:

Comment by keith renick on 2008-01-08
I have enjoyed these articles about LED and Cree. I think the writer is correct. I think these things might be good investments and I am happy to make money but I don't think the technology will save us in the long run. New technology uses tons of energy. For example, To refine silcon is expensive and it also uses coal and has to be fired in a special furnace at 3,000 degrees fahrenheit to get the silicon pure. There are other stages in the process has to do with hydrogen and 300 hours of additional firing at 2,000 degrees fahrenheit. Even making simple cement requires klins that bake at 2,000 to 3,000 degrees. When most people think of a new technology, what most often never comes up is the vast amount of BTU's that is required to manufacture it. Last, I couldn't help but notice some very vulgar and angry comments from one of your readers who blames $100 oil on Keith Kohl and Energy and Capital for being speculators. It's your fault Keith Kohl! Hee! Hee! Even as I type these words I can smell the tar begin to boil and the mobs looking for chickens and geese to pluck for feathers! Hee! Hee! The blame game is common. It will get worse in the future. It will someday get violent. I suggest everyone read a free paper. Go to www.peakoilassociates.com and print and read Peak Oil: Alternatives, Renewables, and Impacts by Clifford J. Wirth. Also go to www.foundation.bw and look at a paper by Joseph George Caldwell. The name of the paper is called It's the Oil, Stupid! (Hubbert's Curve and World War III). The last paper go to www.paulchefurka.ca.....the name of the paper is Energy Decline and National GDP in 2050, The Growth of Destitution. The very, last is www.feasta.org/documents and find a paper called "after oil" by David Fleming. Light bulbs, solar and windmills won't save me but if I can make a lot of money from them it will give me the cash to buy land and tools that I might need to survive. By now, I've got to go pluck some feathers! Aramco Renick, Peachtree City, Ga.
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