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Cap and Trade Programs

It Doesn't Matter What You Think

By Nick Hodge
Friday, February 6th, 2009

Editor's Note: We've had a lot of great feedback over the last few days; some good, some not so good.  We wanted to remind you of our discussion page called "Discuss Energy and Capital".  In addition to reader comments on our articles, you can also start your own discussions, blog posts and add photos and videos.  Check it out here: http://www.angelnexus.com/hub/623


Fresh off the World Money Show in Orlando, where Jeff Siegel and I gave a series of talks on the emerging renewable energy market, I have an abundance of stories to share.

One, in particular, deserves immediate attention, as its implications are microcosmic in multiple ways.

Cap and Trade: It Doesn't Matter What You Think

Think cap and trade is a scam? So what!

When it comes to profiting from cap and trade and other financial mechanisms to cope with climate change, what you think really doesn't matter.

It's happening. It's big. And it's profitable.

Deal with it.

But some people just can't accept it. They want to call Al Gore names, decry it as 'far left' policy, or—what I think happens most—simply are against cap and trade because they don't understand it.

I suspect that was the case with an elderly gentlemen in attendance for my talk entitled, The Financial Implications of Climate Change.

After stating repeatedly in my presentation that an individual's opinion of climate change science and the mechanisms being developed to cope with it have absolutely no relevance when it comes to investing, this guy was intent on arguing about it.

When Q&A time came, he was the first to raise his hand, saying, "I'm a farmer. I practice no till farming and was told I could get $5 an acre for my practices. I did the paperwork and haven't received a dime." (paraphrased from memory)

My reply: "So, what's your question?" I went on to explain that each case is different—maybe his credits hadn't been verified yet, maybe they hadn't been monetized. I told him these things work on a case-by-case basis and he should contact whoever it was he originally worked with on the project to see what the hold-up was.

This was his reply, as he rose from his seat in the crowd and threw his arms up: "Al Gore is the one full of hot air. I'm outta here on that." He then marched out in defiance.

How quintessentially stereotypical and unoriginal.

Hey guy, if you hate money, why don't you just say so?

Look, it doesn't matter if 'the science is still out' or you don't believe in global warming or you think related investment is a bubble.

Fact is, there's money to be made here. Shouldn't that be the primary point?

I'm not here to tell you to reduce your carbon footprint or preach about disappearing ice caps. I just want to help you make money from the recovery devices. And sure, a little less pollution wouldn't hurt anyone. (Not even the GDP, which could take a 1% hit if cap and trade is enacted, but a 20% hit if nothing is done.)

This guy—and many, many others—need to begin trading hostile contention for heavy-hitting profits.

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Cap and Trade: Even Kenya Gets It

While the naysayers here in The States are busy watching Fox News and spewing vitriol on online message boards, even Kenya is pushing forward with progressive cap and trade policy.

According to a recent Reuters article, "Kenya plans to review its environmental strategy to allow companies to trade carbon credits."

The article continued: "A few Kenyan companies like sugar miller Mumias and electricity producer Kengen are in the process of initiating such projects."

Even second-world counties are savvy enough to act on massive profit potential when they see it.

And why shouldn't they? Global carbon trading momentum is growing monumentally. Only a fool would waste time denouncing it rather than seizing easy profits.

Just look at these headlines from the past week or so:

  • Indonesia aims to wrap up forest-carbon rules

  • Japan expects uptrend in UN carbon offset prices -survey

  • Push for climate deal as Obama lifts hopes

  • Norway plans $750 mln carbon technology centre

  • BP's Hayward says world needs a carbon price

The global corporate and political establishment has given its blessing to this market. The Goliaths of the world are behind it. Naysayers are the new Davids of the world.

And, as I've noted before, David only beats Goliath in fiction.

Even U.S. utilities have been flocking to carbon exchanges to purchase carbon credits in anticipation of a domestic cap and trade policy.

Their participation, coupled with the recent international surge in carbon trading, helped propel the global carbon market to 84% growth last year, with $118 billion worth of carbon credits changing hands.

This year, the market is estimated at $150 billion; and that's without a formal policy here in the states. When the U.S. formally commits, the global market could climb to $1 trillion, according to market analysis firm New Energy Finance.

And join we will.

A new president, a democratic-led Congress, and Rep. Henry Waxman as the new chairman of the House Energy and Commerce committee ensure it.

Waxman has said he could have a cap and trade bill on the floor as soon as Memorial Day.

Even the new economic stimulus, about to be passed by the Senate, has carbon control measure embedded by way of renewable energy and efficiency improvements.

The time for abstention is over, no matter your personal opinion on climate change.

I'll be covering ways to profit as legislation is introduced. In the meantime, you should be profiting from the current bill working its way through Congress.

The only thing that can emerge from continued cap and trade opposition is further division and bickering. Why not forgo all that and skip right to the easy profits?

Call it like you see it,

nick hodge

Nick






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Comments:

Comment by Dean on 2009-02-06
You are wrong on one point:
"And, as I've noted before, David only beats Goliath in fiction."
I would like to inform you of some great news......David beating Goliath is not fiction, but really took place.
Have a great day.
Comment by John Toler on 2009-02-06
What a load of crap! Cap and trade will do absolutely nothing in terms of carbon foot prints. It is totally a wealth transfer mechanism; I am all for making money in a productive way that creates jobs. C&P does nothing to elevate the economy anywhere. If Kenya or Japan does it, does that make it smart? Kyota shows that some people will buy anything that is sold as anti-American and allegedly pro-saving the world. Stop the left wing garbage and try to relate in real science and technology. Do you think we can change from a petroleum based economy to new technology over night? Can we make money in the indefined transition period? Of course, and we will if we deal with reality, not propaganda and junk science.
Comment by joe on 2009-02-07
I didn't realize that others question this carbon theory as well. We agree though that it doesn't matter what we think of this theory, just make it work for you. My point was, if one puts forward a theory as fact when it is unsupportable, it weakens one's credibility. This is, in point of fact, what Galileo did with the center of the universe theory. It wasn't that he was not right that got him in water, it was the fact that he could not adequately support it and insisted that he could and then became arrogant about it. Incidentally, his theory was proven correct shortly after his death by another Vatican sponsored scientist.
Comment by Ben Ainsworth on 2009-02-07
The BP Chief forgets that carbon already has a price that is shown every time we buy gas. Anyone making omoney on Cap and Trade is just getting sucked in to the socialist scam of taking money from others to re-distribute unasked and unrepresented to other government Freddy Mac and Fanny Mae's. Gore is the Environmental "Madoff" of the USA.
Comment by Steve on 2009-02-08
I suggest the possibility that the aforementioned farmer was one of the MANY of us who deeply resent the fact that the government is regulating small farms and other small land holdings period!
Comment by Phillip Evans on 2009-02-08
More crap. The unsubstantiated argument is cap and trade. The author says "a little less pollution wouldn't hurt anyone. (Not even the GDP, which could take a 1%hit if cap and trade is enacted, but a 20% hit if nothing is done.)" This is a completely ubsubstantiated (and will be proven to be false) statement. To say that there will be a 20% hit to GDP if nothing is done is preposterous. Defending the whole wrong headed idea of cap and trade is somewhat like saying, "yeah slavery is wrong but make it work for you". Some ideas are just wrong. We don't have to go along with them just to make money. By the way, the Bible is not fiction (see the David and Goliath reference in the article).
Comment by Chris on 2009-06-28
OMG ICE CAPS ARE MELTING....no wait the scientific community doesn't agree it's even happening...wait you mean the ice caps are actually cooling?....wait...

But I am supposed to believe some tree hunging twits on this subject?


SCAM SCAM SCAM SCAM

Be sure you get out and vote at mid terms. Anyone voting for this now needs to be gone for next term.

QUIT BEING SHEEP.